romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't cessarhave to so. ere's ing in our panel h and talk about all of the polling here we do at cnn and howt rks. cnn poll one thing you may have heard is that the polls out there are assuminga higher turnout this election than last. a lot of people say that can't be so there wa so much passion and enthusiasm last time around. cnn polls do not ae any higher rnout, which isan important point of clarification. let's brg in ro martin om the democric avlon. that has becoma rallying cry. there have been a lot of carefully constructed polls put thery ose onhe right saying thepolls assume a highe turnout and they call more democrats than publics. so, i